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☆ China's property crisis could get even uglier. This time, a state-backed developer is the one raising concerns.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China's years-long property crisis could get worse. There are concerns over Vanke amid reports the state-backed property developer was seeking debt maturity extensions. AdvertisementChina's years-long real-estate debt crisis has already taken down property giant Evergrande, which is undergoing liquidation. But China's property crisis could still get worse. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: —, that's, Charlene Chu Organizations: Service, Autonomous Research, Bloomberg, Business Locations: China

☆ Evergrande's liquidation crisis won’t be China’s ‘Lehman moment,’ China Beige Book CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

China Evergrande Group's logo is displayed on a phone screen in this illustration photo taken on September 27, 2021. Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesA liquidation order to property giant China Evergrande liquidation crisis this week deepened concerns about China's struggling real estate sector — but analysts say the spillover will likely be contained, with one saying it might actually be "good news." On Monday, a Hong Kong court issued a liquidation order to the embattled property developer after it failed to reach a restructuring deal with creditors. In other words, no massive credit event," Qazi told CNBC. China Evergrande, once among the country's largest property developers, is the world's most indebted company — with more than $300 billion in liabilities.

Persons: Jakub Porzycki, Shehzad Qazi, Lehman, Qazi, CNBC's, It's, China Evergrande, Evergrande, Linda Chan, Charlene Chu Organizations: Nurphoto, CNBC, Lehman Brothers, Hong, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China macrofinancial, Autonomous Research Locations: China, Hong Kong

☆ Evergrande's liquidation crisis won’t be China’s ‘Lehman moment,’ China Beige Book COO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

China Evergrande Group's logo is displayed on a phone screen in this illustration photo taken on September 27, 2021. Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesA liquidation order to property giant China Evergrande liquidation crisis this week deepened concerns about China's struggling real estate sector — but analysts say the spillover will likely be contained, with one saying it might actually be "good news." On Monday, a Hong Kong court issued a liquidation order to the embattled property developer after it failed to reach a restructuring deal with creditors. China Evergrande, once among the country's largest property developers, is the world's most indebted company — with more than $300 billion in liabilities. Still, questions remain on whether China will recognize the Hong Kong court order for Evergrande's liquidation — since most of the company's assets are in the mainland.

Persons: Jakub Porzycki, Shehzad Qazi, Lehman, Qazi, CNBC's, It's, China Evergrande, Evergrande, Linda Chan, Charlene Chu, we've, Chu Organizations: Nurphoto, CNBC, Lehman Brothers, Hong, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China macrofinancial, Autonomous Research Locations: China, Hong Kong, Commerzbank

☆ Evergrande: 'Real unknown' is how mainland China courts will treat winding-up petition, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEvergrande: 'Real unknown' is how mainland China courts will treat winding-up petition, analyst saysCharlene Chu, China macrofinancial senior analyst at Autonomous Research, discusses the Evergrande liquidation order and says "the real question about the winding up petition is to what extent are the mainland authorities going to recognize what was decided in the Hong Kong courts."

Persons: Charlene Chu Organizations: China macrofinancial, Autonomous Research Locations: China, Hong Kong

☆ China's rapidly dwindling future will shape the world for decades to come
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

Everything was getting bigger — its cultural influence, geopolitical ambition, population — and seemed poised to continue until the world was remade in China's image. But now China's economy is withering, and the future Beijing imagined is being cut down to size along with it. What Beijing does — or fails to do — to fight this malaise will determine the course of humanity for decades to come. China's deflation worries started in earnest in the summer. Years of overbuilding — by about double the population, according to some estimates — and slowing population growth caused prices to collapse .

Persons: Minxin Pei, there's, Charlene Chu, Autonomous Research Charlene Chu, Chu, Wei Yao, Générale, I'm, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke, Xi Jinping, Xie Huanchi, Société Générale's Yao, Yao, It's, —, aren't, Logan Wright, Wright, Xi doesn't, Jinping, it's, Xi, Claremont's Pei, magnanimity Organizations: Claremont McKenna College, Autonomous Research, Federal Reserve, Getty Images Japan, Chinese Communist Party, Xi, CCP Locations: China, Beijing, dauphin, Xinhua, Japan, Xi's China, East Asia, Taiwan, Europe

☆ The Great China Boom is going bust
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +18 min

Unless dramatic action is taken, the future of China's economy is looking less like a young dynamo and more like an old, slow-moving blob. AdvertisementAdvertisementChinese President Xi Jinping has shifted the country's priorities from economic growth to a "technology and national-security race with the US." A faltering Chinese economy will suppress demand for commodities like oil seeds and grain, hitting US farmers especially hard. For the US economy, China as a workshop is much more important than China as a consumer. Now that China's economic supercycle is over, that may be the cycle we're about to witness.

Persons: We've, Xi Jinping, Lee Miller, it's, Xi's, —, Xu Jiayin, Charlene Chu, Chu, Chu —, Victor Shih, Shih, that's, they're, Zhang, Beijing's largess, Miller, It's, they'll, Chinese Communist Party that's, Anne Stevenson, Yang, isn't, Stevenson, Linette Lopez Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Trust, Autonomous Research, Bloomberg, Autonomous, Century China Center, University of California, J Capital Research, Japan, Nike, Starbucks, WSJ, China, Companies Locations: China, Beijing, Cities, Shanghai, It's, Shenyang, metropolises, Shenzhen, Europe, Wall, —, University of California San Diego, Middle Kingdom, Mexico, Vietnam, New York City

☆ It’s official: The era of China’s global dominance is over
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +19 min

We've reached the end of an era for the Chinese economy. Unless dramatic action is taken, the future of China's economy is looking less like a young dynamo and more like an old, slow-moving blob. A faltering Chinese economy will suppress demand for commodities like oil seeds and grain, hitting US farmers especially hard. For the US economy, China as a workshop is much more important than China as a consumer. Now that China's economic supercycle is over, that may be the cycle we're about to witness.

Persons: We've, Xi Jinping, Lee Miller, it's, Xi's, —, Xu Jiayin, Charlene Chu, Chu, Chu —, Victor Shih, Shih, that's, they're, Jinping, Zhang, Miller, It's, they'll, Chinese Communist Party that's, Anne Stevenson, Yang, isn't, Stevenson, Linette Lopez Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Trust, Autonomous Research, Bloomberg, Autonomous, Century China Center, University of California, J Capital Research, Japan, Nike, Starbucks, Companies Locations: China, Beijing, Cities, Shanghai, It's, Shenyang, metropolises, Shenzhen, Europe, Wall, —, University of California San Diego, Middle Kingdom, Mexico, Vietnam, New York City, United States

☆ China is doing everything it can to conceal the true extent of its economic turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

China's economy is turning into a big black blob. This is happening because Xi's China is one that puts ideology before economic growth. Not because the reforms weren't working, but because the China they were creating is not the one Xi wants to see. Even as the main drivers of China's economy stumble, there will be no direct support to help households power through this fragile period. Known unknownsTransparency in China's economic data has always moved the same cycles as its politics.

Persons: —, Xi Jinping, it's, Charlene Chu, Xi, who've, It's, Chu, Fan Zhang, Zhang, Xie Huanchi, thegovernment, Victor Shih, Ministry of State Security —, isn't, Shih, Linette Lopez Organizations: Communist, Autonomous Research, Nike, Starbucks, CCP, National Bureau of Statistics, Custom, J Capital Research, Study Times, Getty, World Trade Organization, Century China Center, University of California, Communist Party, Ministry of State Security, Beijing Locations: China, COVID, Xinhua, University of California San Diego, Beijing

☆ China's alarming decline could tank the stock market, take down the global economy, and spark a dangerous showdown with the US
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-30 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

In the Western capitals and boardrooms, it appears the horror of Beijing's transformation has finally settled in, and the lure of China's economic future is fading. Economic dangerIf you want a clue to just how far China's economy has fallen, look no further than Beijing's attempts to hide information about the country's growth. Beyond the short-term signs of trouble, there are more enduring signs pointing to China's economic distress. That's a big if, and even if Beijing is successful, the slow-moving blob of debt will choke off economic growth for years to come. Xi has tightened his grip on China's economy and government from education to public health.

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